The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict From 1500 to 2000, by Paul Kennedy, first published in 1987, explores the politics and economics of the Great Powers from 1500 to 1980 and the reason for their decline. It then continues by forecasting the positions of China, Japan, the European Economic Community (EEC), the Soviet Union and the United...(展开全部)

The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: Economic Change and Military Conflict From 1500 to 2000, by Paul Kennedy, first published in 1987, explores the politics and economics of the Great Powers from 1500 to 1980 and the reason for their decline. It then continues by forecasting the positions of China, Japan, the European Economic Community (EEC), the Soviet Union and the United...(展开全部)

阎学通，清华大学国际关系研究院院长，世界和平论坛秘书长，清华大学首批文科资深教授，俄罗斯科学院外籍院士。他著作颇丰，其中包括普林斯顿大学出版社出版的Ancient Chinese Thought, Modern Chinese Power。和中信出版社出版的《历史的惯性》等，后者版权输出至印度、韩国、日本、阿尔巴尼亚、英国等，产生了广泛的国际影响力。

阎学通，清华大学国际关系研究院院长，世界和平论坛秘书长，清华大学首批文科资深教授，俄罗斯科学院外籍院士。他著作颇丰，其中包括普林斯顿大学出版社出版的Ancient Chinese Thought, Modern Chinese Power。和中信出版社出版的《历史的惯性》等，后者版权输出至印度、韩国、日本、阿尔巴尼亚、英国等，产生了广泛的国际影响力。

Since its first publication more than eighty years ago, The Decline of the West has ranked as one of the most widely read and talked about books of our time. A sweeping account of Western culture by a historian of legendary intellect, it is an astonishingly informed, forcefully eloquent, thrillingly controversial work that advances a world view based on the cyclical rise and ...(展开全部)

How do established powers react to growing competitors? The United States currently faces a dilemma with regard to China and others over whether to embrace competition and thus substantial present-day costs or collaborate with its rivals to garner short-term gains while letting them become more powerful. This problem lends considerable urgency to the lessons to be learned from ...(展开全部)

威廉•麦克尼尔（William H. McNeill，1917—2016），知名历史学家、全球史研究奠基人、世界历史学科的“现代开创者”。芝加哥大学荣誉退休教授，曾担任美国历史学会主席、美国世界史学会主席。在全球史方面的研究卓然有成，德高望重，与斯宾格勒、汤因比齐名，被誉为“20世纪对历史进行世界性解释的巨人”，开辟了一个西方世界史学的新时代。 1963年，威廉•麦克尼尔以一部《西方的兴起：人类共同体史》一举成名，并因此获得美国国家图书奖。在长达六十余年的学术生涯中，麦克尼尔笔耕不辍，著作等身，迄今已出版30多部作品。1996年，威廉•麦克尼尔因“在欧洲文化、社会和社会科学领域里做出的杰出贡献”荣获伊拉斯谟奖。2009年，美国总统奥巴马为威廉•麦克尼尔颁授国家人文勋章，以表彰其在人文科学研究方面所做出的卓越贡献。 威廉•麦克尼尔毕生追求博大宽宏的视野...(展开全部)